Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 11.454408 12.847419 14.384068 16.212066 18.336616 20.739033 23.676820
2025-11-02 9.402554 11.180724 13.291447 16.006752 19.443535 23.697986 29.440929
2025-11-09 8.167190 10.092096 12.491251 15.746990 20.121711 25.902654 34.302843
2025-11-16 7.311412 9.313054 11.906826 15.582781 20.772979 28.021451 39.250718
2025-11-23 6.567276 8.572825 11.255262 15.195655 20.995559 29.487939 43.402688
2025-11-30 6.057270 8.083408 10.872202 15.105811 21.583294 31.502008 48.657843
2025-12-07 5.479311 7.441022 10.203522 14.509836 21.310008 32.116005 51.679748
2025-12-14 4.945862 6.815654 9.499832 13.779329 20.722932 32.118100 53.597509
2025-12-21 4.595014 6.426655 9.107936 13.482583 20.782584 33.173623 57.553507
2025-12-28 4.680932 6.686928 9.707056 14.802473 23.663457 39.480776 72.701792
2026-01-04 4.523879 6.563511 9.698389 15.120940 24.848704 42.895711 82.785763
2026-01-11 4.232186 6.210169 9.296689 14.734867 24.719678 43.790634 87.629315
2026-01-18 4.115656 6.134004 9.350169 15.164211 26.193646 48.152382 101.583632
2026-01-25 3.890326 5.868446 9.072192 14.981481 26.485207 50.163100 110.518485
2026-02-01 3.676311 5.606664 8.779776 14.741740 26.629469 51.872953 119.133204
2026-02-08 3.496539 5.389879 8.547766 14.590418 26.930014 53.969042 129.354529
2026-02-15 3.298417 5.130260 8.223160 14.233496 26.759205 54.958227 136.756005
2026-02-22 3.159239 4.962643 8.049017 14.150636 27.160057 57.359580 149.049419
2026-03-01 2.960405 4.681557 7.654350 13.600756 26.479557 57.017936 152.759135
2026-03-08 2.757463 4.383782 7.213300 12.926164 25.455177 55.676548 152.928269
2026-03-15 2.625422 4.204166 6.978411 12.651942 25.311954 56.584578 160.982279
2026-03-22 2.703962 4.400804 7.450263 13.870812 28.777934 67.696054 209.467600
2026-03-29 2.655256 4.365292 7.481761 14.164590 30.077392 73.133158 239.326914